Breaking Down the ML

As we head into the final weeks of the regular season, the Marvin League has a much clearer picture than their counterparts in the TL.

Arthur Division:

Bugaboo Creek has all but clinched this division. They just ran away and hid during the early summer months. Reading and Circle City are having nice years but they are just overmatched.

This maybe DeSanto’s best team ever. Last year we saw Brandon Simpson finally win a title in his 9th attempt. Last year was DeSanto’s 9th playoff appearance and he’s never won a title. No VBL3 team has more appearances without a title.

So how did they do it this year?

For starters, Mike Daniel is a serious MVP candidate. He’s not a household name yet, but he should be. 19 HR, 108 Runs, 84 RBI, a .351 average, .403 OBP and a .955 OPS.

Jeffrey Larish and Taylor Teagarden are providing a much needed threat in the heart of the lineup, but nobody has carried this team more than Daniel.

Okay except maybe their pitching.

Francisco Liriano, 20-4 2.87 ERA, 262K in 216IP
Jered Weaver 19-8 3.22 ERA 236K in 209IP
Dan Haren 16-9 4.27 ERA 186K in 191IP
Kyle Gibson 12-9 3.45 ERA 196K in 174IP

That my friends, is as dangerous a playoff rotation as you’ll find in the VBL3. They are able to shut down any offense in the league.

The bullpen has 5 guys with ERA’s under 5.00 right now, and as good as they are, they aren’t need that much thanks to the starters.

At 90-46, Bugaboo is the team to beat this year in the Quest for the Classic.

Zaphod Division:

Stop me if you have heard this one before. 3 teams in the Zaphod are on pace for 100 wins.

Pacifica, Weequahic and Maine are going to take this to the final days of the season. It’s been a rollercoaster ride in the Zaphod.

Currently, Pacifica sits atop the division by 1 game over Weequahic at 88-50.

In terms of pitching, this is your stereotypical Rich Ryall squad.

In terms of hitting, it is anything but.

They have 6 hitters with 75+ RBI, so when you consider the pitching staff, this makes Pacifica very dangerous.

The Pantalones have 7 guys who come out of the bullpen with ERAs under 5.00. Their starting staff isn’t as dominant as Bugaboo’s but it’s pretty darn effective.

Weequahic leads the wildcard race by just 2 games right now.

They took a MAJOR hit in the injury front with the loss of Nyjer Morgan. Morgan was this team’s table setter. Now, that role falls on Brock Holt. Holt is no slouch right now, but he’s not Morgan.

Austin Jackson quietly has driven in 102 runs.

Weequahic and Pacifica have always been very similar. They both rely heavily on pitching, and have offenses designed to score just enough. The difference between them this year is Pacifica has balanced things out with their offense, while Weequahic has not.

The rotation of Pucetas, Owen, Hale, Holder is good enough to win any playoff series. Their bullpen has been awesome this year. Mahoney, Rustich, Inoa, Miller, Taylor, Hynick and Golucky have played a major role in making this team a playoff contender.

Maine started the year looking like the 19 year curse would finally be broken. Now, they are 2 games back and struggling to close that gap.

The offense has been stellar. Anderson, Posey, Jacobs, Westmoreland and Abercrombie are all showing red with their statistics.

By the end of this season, they should have 4 hitters with 100+ RBI.

Verlander, Maine, LaLoosh and Harden are on par with their division opponents. They may not be AS much of a guarantee, but with this offense, GM Wayne Barber is very comfortable with any of them on the hill.

The problem here is the bullpen. If they are going to catch either Pacifica of Weequahic, their bullpen has to step it up. Moret, Storen, and Mixon are the teams only reliable bullpen arms. Bulger, Ruiz, Yacko and Kirk are very unreliable right now. As the final weeks get played, the bullpen will become much more important.

Maine finishes their season with 3 games at home against Pacifica. If a tiebreaker is needed, that series is all Pacifica and Maine have left. Weequahic has 6 division games left.

It would be a shame if Maine could win 100 games and miss the playoffs. I do not think they will win 100, I’ll peg them at 98, but I do think they will fall just shy of the playoffs.

I cannot get over the difference between the bullpens.

As for the division, with the loss of Morgan, I am going to say Pacifica will hold on.

Ford Division:
Little Rock may be a .500 team, but Sparta has yet to find a way to put them away.

Little Rock’s remaining schedule includes: Orlando (2), New England (3), Kiawah (3), and Norfolk (4). Those series’ are huge because they also find themselves thrust into the Zaphod race with series’ against Weequahic, then Maine, then they get their chance against Sparta before heading to Pacifica.

They need to beat the teams that are beatable to close the gap. Sparta plays an identical opponents list, but while Little Rock is playing the weaker teams, Sparta is treading water in the Zaphod.

If Little Rock can be within 2 games on September 17th, then I feel they have a real shot. If they are 5+ out, then it’s likely over.

They will need Dean and Stanton to continue their awesome seasons.

The pitching just doesn’t do this team any favors. Other than Minor, there’s no confidence in anybody on this staff. They are so inconsistent right now.

Sparta just has to get there. With Eric Patterson back in the lineup, the defending champs are looking to gain some momentum heading into October. If they can put Little Rock away, this team can erase all of their regular season struggles.

Suddenly they look at Austin, Patterson, Bay and realize their offense is dangerous enough to win it all. Is the pitching though?

When you compare Sparta to Bugaboo, and the Zaphod, they do not stack up. It’s hard to believe but if the defending champs (who have averaged 104 wins over the last 3 seasons) do close out the division, they will be huge underdogs in the ML playoffs.

Overall:

I think this is Bugaboo’s year. They have all the necessary tools to win it all, and with the aging pitchings in Liriano and Weaver, their time is running out with this roster.

However, if they win the #1 seed, their reward will likely be a 100 win Zaphod team. So, anything can happen.

Breaking Down the TL

It’s been a little quiet this year, probably in part due to the commish’s busy work schedule. So let’s discuss some things that are going on as we head into our 20th virtual September!

St. Charles:

I thought for sure when St. Charles lost Shin-Soo Choo a while back that it was the beginning of the end for this team in the race. Holy cow was I wrong!

GM Sudhagar Subramaniam has done an awesome job with this team. Not many people predicted them to finish in 3rd place, let alone win the division. (I had them finishing 5th).

The Navigators lead the division by 7 games, and it would take an epic collapse (even bigger than Shelton’s) for anybody except Kingston to catch them for the division.

Right now, St. Charles is the #1 seed in the TL and frankly, they do not look like it. The offense isn’t lead by some superstar talent, they are just consistent and balanced.

The bullpen has an 8th and 9th inning “game over” feeling with Robert Manuel and Jason Stoffel. They will be a huge factor heading down the stretch.

Fausto Carmona is 14-1 in 25 starts, but he is defying the odds of logic. He’s allowed 215 batters to reach safely in 154 innings of work, yet he’s got an ERA of 3.03. Sometimes, a little bit of luck is all you need.

Kingston:
They are 7 games back of St. Charles, but have maintained a lead on the wildcard race lately. Currently their lead is 5 games.

We already know this franchise can come back and take a division title late in the season, so St. Charles needs to keep an eye on them.

Like St. Charles, Kingston’s 8th/9th inning guys are huge keys to success. Papelbon and Fields can go toe-to-toe with any 8/9 combo in the league.

The injuries to Sweetbreads Mayer and now Chris Carter hurt their momentum for sure. Mayer will be back soon, but Carter and his 95 RBI will be out until probably the playoffs begin (at the earliest).

Kingston and St. Charles do not see each other until the very last series, so both teams will be forced to get it done before then.

Aberdeen:
They took a risk at the trade deadline, and frankly, it was a good one to take. The TL right now is looking like less is needed to take the pennant. So Aberdeen took a chance and tried to get a little younger, and get a little more roster flexibility while still continuing their quest for the classic.

They lead division rival Memphis by just 3 games, but have been able to go toe-to-toe lately with Memphis when Memphis was on fire.

On offense, this team is quite puzzling. They’ve dealt with some injuries to key players like Joey Votto. For the most part though, it’s been the big name power hitters that have disappointed and the contact/speed guys that have carried them. Murphy, Weeks, Ewing and Warden are a huge reason why this team has stayed afloat.

The acquisition of Tommy Hanson actually has been an improvement over Stephen Strasburg in his first 5 starts.

This team is nowhere without Eddie Morgan though. 16-3 with a 1.63 ERA. It will be hard to see him not win the Escobar.

Brian Matusz has been awful. A 6.70 ERA is just unacceptable, and a bit surprising.

Memphis:
You know things are going well when things are quiet in Memphis!

They have managed to sneak up on Aberdeen, and have got to believe they can win this division.

Tyler Colvin is a serious MVP candidate with his 20 HR, 20 steals, .329 average, 92 runs and 100 RBI.

David Tinsley is having a very odd year. He’s started 25 games, has an ERA of 3.76 and has a 9-4 record.

This pitching staff has been acceptable, but in comparison to the 3 teams above, they don’t have the talent right now.

This team isn’t really all that scary, except for their GM. Mike Dart has figured out a way to get a team without any real superstars to compete against a superstar filled team in Aberdeen.

In order for this team to win the division, Lincecum, Tinsley and Focker need to get going. They have to lead this team, otherwise it will just be a good year with no post-season.

Atlantic City:
With apologies to Springfield, this division race is likely over.

Atlantic City just ripped off 10 straight, and at the same time, Springfield went 3-7. Wrong time to go cold.

The Jackpots now lead the division by 13.5 games, and will likely coast to the finish line.

Everything has started to click as GM Andrew Eismont hoped when he built this team.

Bush, Pedroia, JoeKo, and Gamble are crushing the ball right now and the speedsters in Gardner and Wikoff are getting on base finally.

John Lackey is having a year that has to make GM Jason Zang cringe in Norfolk. He’s 15-5 with a 3.06 ERA, proving that he can live up to the hype.

The rest of the staff is doing a nice job. Niese, Nebraska and Turchin are all below 4.00 ERAs and with the offense going the way it is, that will do.

Ted Watson, Jason Grilli, Neftali Feliz and Matt Capps are creating a nice little bullpen in ATC. The problem is their closer Casey Weathers needs to stop getting the ball.

Honolulu:
They are 6.5 games out of the wildcard, but their remaining schedule is quite favorable.

They see New Orleans, Punxsutawney, South Side, Lexington and Springfield in their final 12 series’.

The offense is explosive, lead by Brian McCann’s 26 HR, 102 RBI. They will probably have 6 hitters end the year with a .300+ batting average.

Pitching will be the issue here. Their starters have all allowed 80+ earned runs, putting them 20th in the league.

The bullpen isn’t much better ranking 19th.

If this team wants a shot at the playoffs, the pitching is going to have to turn the corner.

Shelton:
At 9 games out, it’s a big long shot for Shelton to grab a playoff spot.

They faced some tough injuries this year, but a lot of what they tried to do, just didn’t work.

The offense ranks 22nd in the VBL3, which is not a stat that Shelton management is used to seeing.

John Oxley leads this offense and the league in OPS, but his time out due to injury may cost him the Vladdy.

The rotation just isn’t really working. Ranking near the bottom of the league, they were never able to find quality 3-4-5 performances after Paxton and Cahill.

The bullpen was a bright spot this year. Ranking 4th in the VBL3, the problem is by the time they came in, the starters already lost the game.

Prediction:
I’m going to swap the Dent teams, and give Kingston another come from behind division title.

St. Charles will hang on and grab the wildcard. This will be the franchises 4th playoff appearance, and first in 7 years.

Aberdeen will hang on as well, and Atlantic City will jump ahead to the #1 seed.

Who will represent the TL? Anybody’s guess right now, but I’m taking Aberdeen.

All-Star Rosters Announced!

TL All-Star Pitcher Reserves
Trevor Cahill
Yu Darvish
Joshua Fields
John Lackey
Robert Manuel
Steve Nebraska
Josh Papelbon
David Tinsley

TL All-Star Hitter Reserves
C Jason Castro
1B Abner Ruffin
2B Jack Gamble
2B Dustin Pedroia
3B Michael Young
OF Jason Heyward
OF Donovan Tate

TL All-Star Lineup
DH Julio Borbon
CF Dom Brown
LF Dexter Fowler
3B Tommy Stripling
C Gaylord Focker
1B Chris Carter
RF Dustin Ackley
2B Nick Noonan
SS Brandon Wikoff

SP Eddie Morgan

ML All-Star Pitcher Reserves
Paul Aldrich
Blair Erickson
Arnold Faulkner
Eric Hurley
Victor Moret
Kevin Pucetas
Ricardo Romero
Jered Weaver

ML All-Star Hitter Reserves
C Taylor Teagarden
1B Kila Kaaihue
2B Brock Holt
3B James Darnell
LF Michael Dean
CF Jared Mitchell
RF Kim Hyun-Soo

ML All-Star Lineup
CF Mike Daniel
SS Chase Austin
C Buster Posey
1B Mike Jacobs
DH JJ Furmaniak
LF Bryce Harper
RF Ryan Westmoreland
2B Eric Patterson
3B Alex Gordon

SP Francisco Liriano

April Sim Schedule & Trade Deadline!

April 1-6 Regular sims, will take us to July 22.
April 9-13 Regular sims, will take us to August 5
April 16-18 Regular sims, will take us to August 14
April 24-26 Regular sims, will take us to August 22
April 30-May 3 regular sims will take us through August.

The trade deadline is Thursday, April 12th at 7pm est.